Player breakdown
Cedric Tillman
Tennessee · 2023 Draft Class
6-3213 lbs3rd round, 74th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~26
EliteAll-American x1Did Not Hit
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
78%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | CLE | 14 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 224 | 10.7 | 0 | 16 |
| 2024 | CLE | 11 | 6 | 49 | 29 | 339 | 11.7 | 3 | 30.8 |
| 2025 | CLE | 13 | 10 | 39 | 21 | 270 | 12.9 | 2 | 20.8 |
| Career | 38 | 19 | 132 | 71 | 833 | 11.7 | 5 | 21.9 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Tennessee | SEC | 4 | 1 | -3 | 0 | -3 | -0.8 |
| 2019 | Tennessee | SEC | 11 | 4 | 60 | 1 | 15 | 5.5 |
| 2020 | Tennessee | SEC | 10 | 3 | 67 | 1 | 22.3 | 6.7 |
| 2021 | Tennessee | SEC | 13 | 64 | 1,081 | 12 | 16.9 | 83.2 |
| 2022 | Tennessee | SEC | 6 | 37 | 417 | 3 | 11.3 | 69.5 |
| Career | 44 | 109 | 1,622 | 17 | 14.9 | 36.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
2%
ML model output
Context Prob
58%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.329
-0.8 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.251
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.223
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.409
-19.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.577
Physical production synergy-0.520