Player breakdown
Chase Roberts
BYU · 2026 Draft Class
6-3209 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
30%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | BYU | Ind | 11 | 22 | 357 | 3 | 16.2 | 32.5 |
| 2023 | BYU | Big 12 | 12 | 42 | 573 | 5 | 13.6 | 47.8 |
| 2024 | BYU | Big 12 | 13 | 52 | 854 | 4 | 16.4 | 65.7 |
| 2025 | BYU | Big 12 | 13 | 54 | 802 | 6 | 14.9 | 61.7 |
| Career | 49 | 170 | 2,586 | 18 | 15.2 | 52.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
12%
ML model output
Context Prob
64%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 15% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.145
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.200
BMI 26.1 — ideal frame for NFL WR (209 lbs)+0.172
Top Negative Factors
-3.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.754
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.429
Physical production synergy-0.401