Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Chris Barnes
Chris Barnes

Player breakdown

Chris Barnes

Wake Forest · 2027 Draft Class

5-8155 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~44
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

3%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2000New Mexico StateBig West11872096.5
2002Boston CollegeBig East62220113.7
2024Washington StateInd321909.56.3
2025Wake ForestACC113954731449.7
Career3151660312.921.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

2%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.450
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.236
Class YPR rank: top 20% — elite per-target efficiency+0.228

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 1% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.886
Improvement accelerating (+27.8) — getting better faster each year-0.539
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.354

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)