Player breakdown
Chris Bell
Louisville · 2026 Draft Class
6-2222 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~38
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
14%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | Penn State | Big Ten | 12 | 5 | 66 | 0 | 13.2 | 5.5 |
| 2007 | Penn State | Big Ten | 12 | 7 | 143 | 0 | 20.4 | 11.9 |
| 2022 | Louisville | ACC | 9 | 7 | 105 | 0 | 15 | 11.7 |
| 2023 | Louisville | ACC | 14 | 29 | 407 | 2 | 14 | 29.1 |
| 2024 | Louisville | ACC | 13 | 43 | 737 | 4 | 17.1 | 56.7 |
| 2025 | Louisville | ACC | 11 | 72 | 917 | 6 | 12.7 | 83.4 |
| Career | 71 | 163 | 2,375 | 12 | 14.6 | 33.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
6%
ML model output
Context Prob
61%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 18% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.131
BMI 28.5 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (222 lbs)+0.224
Efficiency consistency: 1.05 — highly consistent across seasons+0.181
Top Negative Factors
-10.9 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.752
Physical production synergy-0.556
Improvement accelerating (+7.7) — getting better faster each year-0.544