Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Chris Durr
Chris Durr

Player breakdown

Chris Durr

Wyoming · 2026 Draft Class

5-10173 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~20
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

9%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2024WyomingMWC1231348111.229
2025WyomingMWC1145469410.442.6
Career2376817510.835.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

8%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.412
Efficiency consistency: 1.04 — highly consistent across seasons+0.195
Improvement accelerating (+0.3) — getting better faster each year+0.194

Top Negative Factors

-16.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.712
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.607
Physical production synergy-0.416

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)