Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Chris Henry
Chris Henry

Player breakdown

Chris Henry

West Virginia · 2005 Draft Class

6-4197 lbs3rd round, 83rd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~43
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

14%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2005CIN145513142213.6630.1
2006CIN134753660516.8946.5
2007CIN82382134316.3242.9
2008CIN121461922011.6218.3
2009CIN80231223619.7229.5
Career55122331191,82615.32133.2
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2002Middle Tennessee StateSun Belt1214180112.915
2003West VirginiaBig East12411,0061024.583.8
2003Middle Tennessee StateSun Belt1019227011.922.7
2003ArizonaPac-1021140147
2004West VirginiaBig East11528721216.879.3
2004Middle Tennessee StateSun Belt116058609.853.3
2004ArizonaPac-10112-30-1.5-0.3
2005Middle Tennessee StateSun Belt273905.619.5
2005ArizonaPac-10112-30-1.5-0.3
2006ArizonaPac-10112119719.417.9
Career932193,1152414.233.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

9%

ML model output

Context Prob

45%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.332
BMI 24.0 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (197 lbs)+0.201
Class YPR rank: top 0% — elite per-target efficiency+0.175

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.552
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.419
Improvement accelerating (+4.6) — getting better faster each year-0.391

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)