Player breakdown
Christian Kirk
Texas A&M · 2018 Draft Class
5-10191 lbs2nd round, 47th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~29
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
90%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | ARI | 12 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 590 | 13.7 | 3 | 49.2 |
| 2019 | ARI | 13 | 13 | 108 | 68 | 709 | 10.4 | 3 | 54.5 |
| 2020 | ARI | 14 | 10 | 79 | 48 | 621 | 12.9 | 6 | 44.4 |
| 2021 | ARI | 17 | 11 | 103 | 77 | 982 | 12.8 | 5 | 57.8 |
| 2022 | JAX | 17 | 17 | 133 | 84 | 1,108 | 13.2 | 8 | 65.2 |
| 2023 | JAX | 12 | 12 | 85 | 57 | 787 | 13.8 | 3 | 65.6 |
| 2024 | JAX | 8 | 7 | 47 | 27 | 379 | 14 | 1 | 47.4 |
| 2025 | HOU | 13 | 3 | 52 | 28 | 239 | 8.5 | 1 | 18.4 |
| Career | 106 | 80 | 675 | 432 | 5,415 | 12.5 | 30 | 51.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | Texas A&M | SEC | 13 | 80 | 1,009 | 7 | 12.6 | 77.6 |
| 2016 | Texas A&M | SEC | 13 | 83 | 928 | 9 | 11.2 | 71.4 |
| 2017 | Texas A&M | SEC | 13 | 71 | 919 | 10 | 12.9 | 70.7 |
| Career | 39 | 234 | 2,856 | 26 | 12.2 | 73.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
96%
ML model output
Context Prob
57%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 14% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.208
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.669
Physical production synergy+0.408
Top Negative Factors
Recruit dominator synergy-0.258
Efficiency composite: 0.46 — average combined efficiency-0.196
Team averaged 37.1 pass attempts/game — balanced offensive system-0.169