Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Kenny Stills
Kenny Stills

Player breakdown

Kenny Stills

Oklahoma · 2013 Draft Class

6-0194 lbs5th round, 144th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~34
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

60%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2013NOR1610503264120540.1
2014NOR157836393114.8362.1
2015MIA168632744016.3327.5
2016MIA1616814272617.3945.4
2017MIA16161055884714.6652.9
2018MIA1515643755314.9636.9
2019HOU135554056114443.2
2020HOU100191114413.1114.4
2021NOR1342366811.315.2
Career130815433164,91115.53837.8
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2010OklahomaBig 121461786512.956.1
2011OklahomaBig 121161849813.977.2
2012OklahomaBig 1213829591111.773.8
Career382042,5942412.768.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

61%

ML model output

Context Prob

52%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 11% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.246
0.63 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.224
Physical production synergy+0.219

Top Negative Factors

Accounted for 1.68 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.426
+13.8 ypg vs. draft class average — above average-0.278
Efficiency composite: 0.51 — average combined efficiency-0.208

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)