Player breakdown
Tyler Boyd
Pittsburgh · 2016 Draft Class
6-1197 lbs2nd round, 55th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~31
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
87%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | CIN | 16 | 2 | 81 | 54 | 603 | 11.2 | 1 | 37.7 |
| 2017 | CIN | 10 | 1 | 32 | 22 | 225 | 10.2 | 2 | 22.5 |
| 2018 | CIN | 14 | 14 | 108 | 76 | 1,028 | 13.5 | 7 | 73.4 |
| 2019 | CIN | 16 | 15 | 148 | 90 | 1,046 | 11.6 | 5 | 65.4 |
| 2020 | CIN | 15 | 8 | 110 | 79 | 841 | 10.6 | 4 | 56.1 |
| 2021 | CIN | 16 | 10 | 94 | 67 | 828 | 12.4 | 5 | 51.8 |
| 2022 | CIN | 16 | 14 | 82 | 58 | 762 | 13.1 | 5 | 47.6 |
| 2023 | CIN | 17 | 13 | 98 | 67 | 667 | 10 | 2 | 39.2 |
| 2024 | TEN | 16 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 390 | 10 | 0 | 24.4 |
| Career | 136 | 85 | 810 | 552 | 6,390 | 11.6 | 31 | 47.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | Pitt | ACC | 13 | 85 | 1,174 | 7 | 13.8 | 90.3 |
| 2014 | Pitt | ACC | 13 | 78 | 1,261 | 8 | 16.2 | 97 |
| 2015 | Pitt | ACC | 12 | 91 | 926 | 6 | 10.2 | 77.2 |
| Career | 38 | 254 | 3,361 | 21 | 13.2 | 88.4 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
96%
ML model output
Context Prob
70%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 22% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.206
Physical production synergy+0.428
Improvement accelerating (+0.1) — getting better faster each year+0.315
Top Negative Factors
Recruit dominator synergy-0.249
0.08 TDs/catch — high-value usage pattern-0.169
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.26x — route-running independent of system-0.159