Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Cobi Hamilton
Cobi Hamilton

Player breakdown

Cobi Hamilton

Arkansas · 2013 Draft Class

6-2212 lbs6th round, 197th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~35
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

38%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2016PIT118281723413.8221.3
2017HOU31618802.7
Career149341824213.4217.3
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2009ArkansasSEC1319347318.326.7
2010ArkansasSEC1332630619.748.5
2011ArkansasSEC1334542415.941.7
2012ArkansasSEC12901,335514.8111.3
Career511752,8541816.356.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

1%

ML model output

Context Prob

94%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

4

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

BMI 27.2 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (212 lbs)+0.225
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.88 — elite recruit at elite school+0.191
Accounted for 2.90 yards per team pass attempt — alpha receiver share+0.168

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.339
-0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.546
Physical production synergy-0.520

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)