Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Robert Meachem
Robert Meachem

Player breakdown

Robert Meachem

Tennessee · 2007 Draft Class

6-2214 lbs1st round, 27th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~41
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

35%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2008NOR143201228924.1320.6
2009NOR167644572216945.1
2010NOR167664463814.5539.9
2011NOR168604062015.5638.8
2012SDG153321420714.8213.8
2013NOR155301632420.3221.6
2014NOR11220711416.3010.4
Career103352921782,91416.42728.3
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2004TennesseeSEC1325459418.435.3
2005TennesseeSEC1129383213.234.8
2006TennesseeSEC13711,2981118.399.8
Career371252,1401717.157.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

6%

ML model output

Context Prob

90%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

3

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

BMI 27.5 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (214 lbs)+0.241
Speed × production: 149.6 — elite combined athletic output+0.235
Accounted for 3.13 yards per team pass attempt — alpha receiver share+0.221

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.396
+1.9 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.528
Physical production synergy-0.460

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)