Player breakdown
Colin Chase
Temple · 2026 Draft Class
Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
53%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Temple | American | 12 | 40 | 414 | 4 | 10.4 | 34.5 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
54%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.863
Recruit dominator synergy+0.465
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.286
Top Negative Factors
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.737
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.567
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.338