Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Corey Fuller
Corey Fuller

Player breakdown

Corey Fuller

Virginia Tech · 2013 Draft Class

6-2204 lbs6th round, 171st overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~36
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

18%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2014DET162311421215.1113.3
2015DET12094761906.3
Career282401828816.0110.3
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2010Texas ChristianMWC102300153
2011Texas ChristianMWC13235017.52.7
2011Virginia TechACC721909.52.7
2012Virginia TechACC134381561962.7
2012Texas ChristianBig 1213780111.46.2
Career5656979717.517.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

1%

ML model output

Context Prob

48%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

3

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.340
2.7 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.271
Class YPR rank: top 4% — elite per-target efficiency+0.241

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.350
-14.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.577
Improvement accelerating (+26.2) — getting better faster each year-0.486

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)