Player breakdown
Mike Wallace
Mississippi · 2009 Draft Class
6-0199 lbs3rd round, 84th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~40
High1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
72%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | PIT | 16 | 4 | 72 | 39 | 756 | 19.4 | 6 | 47.3 |
| 2010 | PIT | 16 | 16 | 98 | 60 | 1,257 | 21 | 10 | 78.6 |
| 2011 | PIT | 16 | 14 | 114 | 72 | 1,193 | 16.6 | 8 | 74.6 |
| 2012 | PIT | 15 | 14 | 119 | 64 | 836 | 13.1 | 8 | 55.7 |
| 2013 | MIA | 16 | 16 | 141 | 73 | 930 | 12.7 | 5 | 58.1 |
| 2014 | MIA | 16 | 16 | 115 | 67 | 862 | 12.9 | 10 | 53.9 |
| 2015 | MIN | 16 | 12 | 72 | 39 | 473 | 12.1 | 2 | 29.6 |
| 2016 | BAL | 16 | 16 | 116 | 72 | 1,017 | 14.1 | 4 | 63.6 |
| 2017 | BAL | 15 | 14 | 92 | 52 | 748 | 14.4 | 4 | 49.9 |
| 2018 | PHI | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Career | 144 | 124 | 942 | 538 | 8,072 | 15.0 | 57 | 56.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | Ole Miss | SEC | 12 | 24 | 410 | 2 | 17.1 | 34.2 |
| 2007 | Ole Miss | SEC | 12 | 38 | 716 | 6 | 18.8 | 59.7 |
| 2008 | Ole Miss | SEC | 13 | 39 | 784 | 7 | 20.1 | 60.3 |
| Career | 37 | 101 | 1,910 | 15 | 18.9 | 51.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
76%
ML model output
Context Prob
47%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 19% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.310
Recruit dominator synergy+0.561
BMI 27.0 — ideal frame for NFL WR (199 lbs)+0.243
Top Negative Factors
-2.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.766
0.41 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college-0.286
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.33x — route-running independent of system-0.165