Player breakdown
Louis Murphy
Florida · 2009 Draft Class
6-2203 lbs4th round, 124th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~39
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
39%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | OAK | 16 | 9 | 96 | 34 | 521 | 15.3 | 4 | 32.6 |
| 2010 | OAK | 14 | 9 | 78 | 41 | 609 | 14.9 | 2 | 43.5 |
| 2011 | OAK | 11 | 1 | 33 | 15 | 241 | 16.1 | 0 | 21.9 |
| 2012 | CAR | 16 | 5 | 61 | 25 | 336 | 13.4 | 1 | 21 |
| 2013 | NYG | 14 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 37 | 6.2 | 1 | 2.6 |
| 2014 | TAM | 11 | 3 | 56 | 31 | 380 | 12.3 | 2 | 34.5 |
| 2015 | TAM | 6 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 198 | 19.8 | 0 | 33 |
| 2017 | SFO | 7 | 7 | 17 | 8 | 121 | 15.1 | 1 | 17.3 |
| Career | 95 | 35 | 372 | 170 | 2,443 | 14.4 | 11 | 25.7 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | Florida | SEC | 12 | 2 | 42 | 1 | 21 | 3.5 |
| 2007 | Florida | SEC | 13 | 37 | 548 | 5 | 14.8 | 42.2 |
| 2008 | Florida | SEC | 14 | 38 | 655 | 7 | 17.2 | 46.8 |
| Career | 39 | 77 | 1,245 | 13 | 16.2 | 31.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
2%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
7
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.395
Class YPR rank: top 17% — elite per-target efficiency+0.264
3.5 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.242
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 1% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.192
-24.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.568
Improvement accelerating (+14.6) — getting better faster each year-0.479