Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Corey Rucker
Corey Rucker

Player breakdown

Corey Rucker

Arkansas State · 2026 Draft Class

6-0213 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~24
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

15%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2020Arkansas StateSun Belt816453528.356.6
2021Arkansas StateSun Belt125982691468.8
2022South CarolinaSEC215215226
2023Arkansas StateSun Belt1336705219.654.2
2024Arkansas StateSun Belt13691,053715.381
2025Arkansas StateSun Belt13751,032413.879.4
Career612564,1212816.167.6

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

7%

ML model output

Context Prob

59%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Class YPR rank: top 20% — elite per-target efficiency+0.247
BMI 28.9 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (213 lbs)+0.226
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.194

Top Negative Factors

Physical production synergy-0.556
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.484
Improvement accelerating (+1.3) — getting better faster each year-0.396

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)