Player breakdown
Tetairoa McMillan
Arizona · 2025 Draft Class
6-4219 lbs1st round, 8th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~23
EliteAll-American x11000+ NFL
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
90%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | CAR | 17 | 17 | 122 | 70 | 1,014 | 14.5 | 7 | 59.6 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 12 | 39 | 702 | 8 | 18 | 58.5 |
| 2023 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 13 | 90 | 1,402 | 10 | 15.6 | 107.8 |
| 2024 | Arizona | Big 12 | 12 | 84 | 1,319 | 8 | 15.7 | 109.9 |
| Career | 37 | 213 | 3,423 | 26 | 16.1 | 92.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
79%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
7
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 12% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.121
Physical production synergy+0.379
34.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.291
Top Negative Factors
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.425
Efficiency consistency: 1.12 — highly consistent across seasons-0.279
Recruit dominator synergy-0.216