Player breakdown
Cornelius Johnson
Michigan · 2024 Draft Class
6-3212 lbs7th round, 253rd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~25
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
45%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Michigan | Big Ten | 12 | 4 | 61 | 1 | 15.3 | 5.1 |
| 2020 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6 | 16 | 254 | 3 | 15.9 | 42.3 |
| 2021 | Michigan | Big Ten | 14 | 39 | 620 | 3 | 15.9 | 44.3 |
| 2022 | Michigan | Big Ten | 14 | 32 | 499 | 6 | 15.6 | 35.6 |
| 2023 | Michigan | Big Ten | 15 | 47 | 604 | 1 | 12.9 | 40.3 |
| Career | 61 | 138 | 2,038 | 14 | 14.8 | 33.4 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
11%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
7
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 15% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.181
Physical production synergy+0.276
5.1 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.269
Top Negative Factors
-22.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.747
0.23 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.488
Accounted for 1.57 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.428