Player breakdown
Cory Rodgers
TCU · 2006 Draft Class
6-0188 lbs4th round, 104th overallAge: ~41
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
7%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | Texas Christian | CUSA | 13 | 37 | 590 | 5 | 15.9 | 45.4 |
| 2004 | Texas Christian | CUSA | 11 | 61 | 836 | 7 | 13.7 | 76 |
| 2005 | Texas Christian | MWC | 12 | 52 | 685 | 5 | 13.2 | 57.1 |
| Career | 36 | 150 | 2,111 | 17 | 14.1 | 58.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
2%
ML model output
Context Prob
35%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.474
36.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.302
Improvement accelerating (+0.4) — getting better faster each year+0.172
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.467
+4.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.552
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.396