Player breakdown
Nate Burleson
Nevada · 2003 Draft Class
6-0197 lbs3rd round, 71st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~45
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
90%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | MIN | 16 | 9 | 57 | 29 | 455 | 15.7 | 2 | 28.4 |
| 2004 | MIN | 16 | 15 | 102 | 68 | 1,006 | 14.8 | 9 | 62.9 |
| 2005 | MIN | 12 | 9 | 52 | 30 | 328 | 10.9 | 1 | 27.3 |
| 2006 | SEA | 16 | 7 | 37 | 18 | 192 | 10.7 | 2 | 12 |
| 2007 | SEA | 16 | 12 | 96 | 50 | 694 | 13.9 | 9 | 43.4 |
| 2008 | SEA | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 12 | 1 | 60 |
| 2009 | SEA | 13 | 12 | 103 | 63 | 812 | 12.9 | 3 | 62.5 |
| 2010 | DET | 14 | 14 | 86 | 55 | 625 | 11.4 | 6 | 44.6 |
| 2011 | DET | 16 | 11 | 110 | 73 | 757 | 10.4 | 3 | 47.3 |
| 2012 | DET | 6 | 5 | 43 | 27 | 240 | 8.9 | 2 | 40 |
| 2013 | DET | 9 | 8 | 55 | 39 | 461 | 11.8 | 1 | 51.2 |
| Career | 135 | 103 | 750 | 457 | 5,630 | 12.3 | 39 | 41.7 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Nevada | WAC | 12 | 57 | 921 | 8 | 16.2 | 76.8 |
| 2001 | Nevada | WAC | 9 | 53 | 737 | 2 | 13.9 | 81.9 |
| 2002 | Nevada | WAC | 12 | 138 | 1,629 | 12 | 11.8 | 135.8 |
| Career | 33 | 248 | 3,287 | 22 | 13.3 | 99.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
95%
ML model output
Context Prob
63%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 17% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.247
Recruit dominator synergy+0.501
6.0 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.283
Top Negative Factors
Physical production synergy-0.383
Team averaged 39.8 pass attempts/game — balanced offensive system-0.204
Efficiency composite: 0.42 — average combined efficiency-0.201