Player breakdown
Craphonso Thorpe
Florida St. · 2005 Draft Class
6-1188 lbs4th round, 116th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~43
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
41%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | IND | 5 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 70 | 5.8 | 1 | 14 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | Florida State | ACC | 11 | 15 | 286 | 1 | 19.1 | 26 |
| 2002 | Florida State | ACC | 14 | 17 | 377 | 4 | 22.2 | 26.9 |
| 2003 | Florida State | ACC | 11 | 51 | 994 | 11 | 19.5 | 90.4 |
| 2004 | Florida State | ACC | 11 | 40 | 496 | 2 | 12.4 | 45.1 |
| Career | 47 | 123 | 2,153 | 18 | 17.5 | 45.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
9%
ML model output
Context Prob
88%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
5
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 19% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.116
BMI 24.8 — ideal frame for NFL WR (188 lbs)+0.249
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.88 — elite recruit at elite school+0.199
Top Negative Factors
-8.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.738
Improvement accelerating (+2.5) — getting better faster each year-0.377
Physical production synergy-0.370