Player breakdown
Javon Walker
Florida St. · 2002 Draft Class
6-3210 lbs1st round, 20th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~47
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
82%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | GNB | 15 | 2 | 50 | 23 | 319 | 13.9 | 1 | 21.3 |
| 2003 | GNB | 16 | 3 | 74 | 41 | 716 | 17.5 | 9 | 44.8 |
| 2004 | GNB | 16 | 12 | 144 | 89 | 1,382 | 15.5 | 12 | 86.4 |
| 2005 | GNB | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 27 | 6.8 | 0 | 27 |
| 2006 | DEN | 16 | 16 | 126 | 69 | 1,084 | 15.7 | 8 | 67.8 |
| 2007 | DEN | 8 | 5 | 50 | 26 | 287 | 11 | 0 | 35.9 |
| 2008 | OAK | 8 | 7 | 32 | 15 | 196 | 13.1 | 1 | 24.5 |
| Career | 80 | 46 | 481 | 267 | 4,011 | 15.0 | 31 | 50.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Florida State | ACC | 9 | 20 | 313 | 3 | 15.7 | 34.8 |
| 2001 | Florida State | ACC | 11 | 45 | 944 | 7 | 21 | 85.8 |
| Career | 20 | 65 | 1,257 | 10 | 19.3 | 62.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
83%
ML model output
Context Prob
82%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
4
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 19% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.308
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.230
Class YPR rank: top 7% — elite per-target efficiency+0.217
Top Negative Factors
+6.9 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.740
Physical production synergy-0.366
Improvement accelerating (+2.0) — getting better faster each year-0.251