Player breakdown
Damian Williams
USC · 2010 Draft Class
6-1197 lbs3rd round, 77th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~38
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
44%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | TEN | 16 | 1 | 28 | 16 | 219 | 13.7 | 0 | 13.7 |
| 2011 | TEN | 15 | 13 | 94 | 45 | 592 | 13.2 | 5 | 39.5 |
| 2012 | TEN | 13 | 2 | 45 | 30 | 324 | 10.8 | 0 | 24.9 |
| 2013 | TEN | 10 | 1 | 23 | 15 | 178 | 11.9 | 0 | 17.8 |
| 2014 | MIA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 14 |
| Career | 55 | 17 | 191 | 107 | 1,327 | 12.4 | 5 | 24.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | Arkansas | SEC | 13 | 19 | 235 | 2 | 12.4 | 18.1 |
| 2008 | USC | Pac-10 | 13 | 58 | 869 | 9 | 15 | 66.8 |
| 2009 | USC | Pac-10 | 12 | 70 | 1,010 | 6 | 14.4 | 84.2 |
| Career | 38 | 147 | 2,114 | 17 | 14.4 | 55.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
43%
ML model output
Context Prob
50%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 29% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.273
BMI 26.0 — ideal frame for NFL WR (197 lbs)+0.227
0.60 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.212
Top Negative Factors
Physical production synergy-0.602
Improvement accelerating (+3.3) — getting better faster each year-0.389
Recruit dominator synergy-0.305