Player breakdown
Michael Clayton
LSU · 2004 Draft Class
6-3209 lbs1st round, 15th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~43
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
81%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | TAM | 16 | 13 | 122 | 80 | 1,193 | 14.9 | 7 | 74.6 |
| 2005 | TAM | 14 | 10 | 55 | 32 | 372 | 11.6 | 0 | 26.6 |
| 2006 | TAM | 12 | 9 | 65 | 33 | 356 | 10.8 | 1 | 29.7 |
| 2007 | TAM | 14 | 4 | 40 | 22 | 301 | 13.7 | 0 | 21.5 |
| 2008 | TAM | 15 | 9 | 61 | 38 | 484 | 12.7 | 1 | 32.3 |
| 2009 | TAM | 13 | 11 | 48 | 16 | 230 | 14.4 | 1 | 17.7 |
| 2010 | NYG | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | 0 | 3.2 |
| 2011 | NYG | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Career | 95 | 56 | 396 | 223 | 2,955 | 13.3 | 10 | 31.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | LSU | SEC | 12 | 47 | 754 | 6 | 16 | 62.8 |
| 2002 | LSU | SEC | 13 | 57 | 749 | 5 | 13.1 | 57.6 |
| 2003 | LSU | SEC | 14 | 78 | 1,079 | 10 | 13.8 | 77.1 |
| Career | 39 | 182 | 2,582 | 21 | 14.2 | 66.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
84%
ML model output
Context Prob
62%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 31% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.267
Physical production synergy+0.347
0.54 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.230
Top Negative Factors
+10.2 ypg vs. draft class average — above average-0.687
Recruit dominator synergy-0.286
Efficiency consistency: 1.13 — highly consistent across seasons-0.280