Player breakdown
Mario Manningham
Michigan · 2008 Draft Class
6-0181 lbs3rd round, 95th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~40
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
56%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | NYG | 7 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 6.5 | 0 | 3.7 |
| 2009 | NYG | 14 | 10 | 99 | 57 | 822 | 14.4 | 5 | 58.7 |
| 2010 | NYG | 16 | 8 | 93 | 60 | 944 | 15.7 | 9 | 59 |
| 2011 | NYG | 12 | 10 | 77 | 39 | 523 | 13.4 | 4 | 43.6 |
| 2012 | SFO | 12 | 10 | 57 | 42 | 449 | 10.7 | 1 | 37.4 |
| 2013 | SFO | 6 | 3 | 23 | 9 | 85 | 9.4 | 0 | 14.2 |
| Career | 67 | 41 | 355 | 211 | 2,849 | 13.5 | 19 | 42.5 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | Michigan | Big Ten | 12 | 27 | 433 | 6 | 16 | 36.1 |
| 2006 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10 | 38 | 703 | 9 | 18.5 | 70.3 |
| 2007 | Michigan | Big Ten | 12 | 72 | 1,174 | 12 | 16.3 | 97.8 |
| Career | 34 | 137 | 2,310 | 27 | 16.9 | 67.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
56%
ML model output
Context Prob
57%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 15% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.280
BMI 24.6 — ideal frame for NFL WR (181 lbs)+0.247
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.98 — elite recruit at elite school+0.210
Top Negative Factors
Physical production synergy-0.590
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.441
Improvement accelerating (+1.7) — getting better faster each year-0.300