Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Daniel Braverman
Daniel Braverman

Player breakdown

Daniel Braverman

Western Michigan · 2016 Draft Class

5-10180 lbs7th round, 230th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~32
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

62%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2016CHI30200000
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2012Western MichiganMAC111813507.512.3
2014Western MichiganMAC1386997611.676.7
2015Western MichiganMAC131091,3771312.6105.9
Career372132,5091911.867.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

64%

ML model output

Context Prob

59%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

4

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 13% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.254
Recruit dominator synergy+0.291
BMI 25.8 — ideal frame for NFL WR (180 lbs)+0.188

Top Negative Factors

Improvement accelerating (+9.2) — getting better faster each year-0.534
Physical production synergy-0.374
No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.206

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)