Player breakdown
Jordan Shipley
Texas · 2010 Draft Class
5-11193 lbs3rd round, 84th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~40
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
47%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | CIN | 15 | 4 | 74 | 52 | 600 | 11.5 | 3 | 40 |
| 2011 | CIN | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 3.5 | 0 | 7 |
| 2012 | JAX | 6 | 2 | 39 | 23 | 244 | 10.6 | 1 | 40.7 |
| Career | 23 | 6 | 118 | 79 | 858 | 10.9 | 4 | 37.3 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | Texas | Big 12 | 13 | 16 | 229 | 4 | 14.3 | 17.6 |
| 2007 | Texas | Big 12 | 13 | 27 | 417 | 5 | 15.4 | 32.1 |
| 2008 | Texas | Big 12 | 13 | 89 | 1,060 | 11 | 11.9 | 81.5 |
| 2009 | Texas | Big 12 | 14 | 116 | 1,485 | 13 | 12.8 | 106.1 |
| Career | 53 | 248 | 3,191 | 33 | 12.9 | 60.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
21%
ML model output
Context Prob
78%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
4
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 7% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+0.430
BMI 26.9 — ideal frame for NFL WR (193 lbs)+0.225
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.214
Top Negative Factors
+5.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.709
Improvement accelerating (+5.5) — getting better faster each year-0.421
Physical production synergy-0.417