Player breakdown
David Clowney
Virginia Tech · 2007 Draft Class
6-0188 lbs5th round, 157th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~41
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
7%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | NYJ | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 13 |
| 2009 | NYJ | 13 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 191 | 13.6 | 1 | 14.7 |
| 2010 | 2TM | 13 | 0 | 16 | 7 | 124 | 17.7 | 0 | 9.5 |
| 2010 | NYJ | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 7.3 |
| 2010 | CAR | 10 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 102 | 17 | 0 | 10.2 |
| Career | 41 | 3 | 56 | 29 | 465 | 16.0 | 1 | 11.3 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 12 | 5 | 67 | 1 | 13.4 | 5.6 |
| 2004 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 12 | 20 | 263 | 2 | 13.2 | 21.9 |
| 2005 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 13 | 34 | 619 | 3 | 18.2 | 47.6 |
| 2006 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 12 | 34 | 424 | 0 | 12.5 | 35.3 |
| Career | 49 | 93 | 1,373 | 6 | 14.8 | 28.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
0%
ML model output
Context Prob
42%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.525
5.6 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.260
BMI 25.5 — ideal frame for NFL WR (188 lbs)+0.156
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.378
-26.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.602
Improvement accelerating (+8.2) — getting better faster each year-0.505