Player breakdown
David Reed
Utah · 2010 Draft Class
6-0191 lbs5th round, 156th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~39
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
38%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | BAL | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2011 | BAL | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2012 | BAL | 5 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 66 | 13.2 | 0 | 13.2 |
| 2013 | IND | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Career | 36 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 68 | 11.3 | 0 | 1.9 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | Utah | MWC | 13 | 25 | 427 | 6 | 17.1 | 32.8 |
| 2009 | Utah | MWC | 13 | 81 | 1,188 | 5 | 14.7 | 91.4 |
| Career | 26 | 106 | 1,615 | 11 | 15.2 | 62.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
36%
ML model output
Context Prob
47%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 12% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.144
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.212
BMI 25.9 — ideal frame for NFL WR (191 lbs)+0.188
Top Negative Factors
+7.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.689
Physical production synergy-0.422
Improvement accelerating (+1.8) — getting better faster each year-0.330