Predicting the Pros
Predictions/D.J. Hackett
D.J. Hackett

Player breakdown

D.J. Hackett

Colorado · 2004 Draft Class

6-2199 lbs5th round, 157th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~45
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

8%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2005SEA133422840014.3230.8
2006SEA145664561013.6443.6
2007SEA66473238412364
2008CAR92281318113.9020.1
Career42161831181,57513.3937.5
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2002ColoradoBig 121318211411.716.2
2003ColoradoBig 1212781,01371384.4
Career25961,2241112.849.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

1%

ML model output

Context Prob

49%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.181
BMI 25.6 — ideal frame for NFL WR (199 lbs)+0.167
Speed score 94.5 — below average weight-adjusted athleticism+0.145

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.545
-5.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.537
Improvement accelerating (+3.8) — getting better faster each year-0.384

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)