Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Deion Branch
Deion Branch

Player breakdown

Deion Branch

Louisville · 2002 Draft Class

5-9191 lbs2nd round, 65th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~47
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

68%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2002NWE137684348911.4237.6
2003NWE15121035780314.1353.5
2004NWE99513545413450.4
2005NWE16151257899812.8562.4
2006SEA14131015372513.7451.8
2007SEA1111854966113.5460.1
2008SEA88593041213.7451.5
2009SEA14579454379.7231.2
20102TM1512926181813.4654.5
2010SEA4318131128.6128
2010NWE119744870614.7564.2
2011NWE1515905170213.8546.8
2012NWE10429161459.1014.5
Career1551239745797,46212.94548.1
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2000LouisvilleCUSA11711,016914.392.4
2001LouisvilleCUSA12721,188916.599
Career231432,2041815.495.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

72%

ML model output

Context Prob

47%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 18% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.260
Improvement accelerating (+0.2) — getting better faster each year+0.408
+41.4 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.246

Top Negative Factors

Physical production synergy-0.541
54.1 yards per adjusted target opportunity — solid efficiency vs. opportunities-0.156
Height-adjusted speed: 4.66s — below average speed for frame-0.155

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)