Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Demetrius Byrd
Demetrius Byrd

Player breakdown

Demetrius Byrd

LSU · 2009 Draft Class

6-0199 lbs7th round, 224th overallAge: ~37
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

60%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2007LSUSEC1435621717.744.4
2008LSUSEC1337513413.939.5
Career27721,1341115.842.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

19%

ML model output

Context Prob

87%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

5

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 31% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.092
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.682
Recruit dominator synergy+0.407

Top Negative Factors

-12.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.740
Physical production synergy-0.401
Accounted for 1.40 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.399

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)