Player breakdown
Derek Abney
Kentucky · 2004 Draft Class
5-9179 lbs7th round, 244th overallAge: ~44
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
12%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Kentucky | SEC | 11 | 40 | 413 | 3 | 10.3 | 37.5 |
| 2001 | Kentucky | SEC | 11 | 66 | 741 | 6 | 11.2 | 67.4 |
| 2002 | Kentucky | SEC | 12 | 40 | 569 | 4 | 14.2 | 47.4 |
| 2003 | Kentucky | SEC | 12 | 51 | 616 | 5 | 12.1 | 51.3 |
| Career | 46 | 197 | 2,339 | 18 | 11.9 | 50.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
10%
ML model output
Context Prob
35%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 23% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.231
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.94x — route-running independent of system+0.184
Volume + efficiency: 0.56 — solid combined output within draft class+0.173
Top Negative Factors
-1.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.720
Accounted for 1.66 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.416
Physical production synergy-0.360