Player breakdown
DeVante Parker
Louisville · 2015 Draft Class
6-3180 lbs1st round, 14th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~33
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
78%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | MIA | 14 | 4 | 50 | 26 | 494 | 19 | 3 | 35.3 |
| 2016 | MIA | 15 | 8 | 87 | 56 | 744 | 13.3 | 4 | 49.6 |
| 2017 | MIA | 13 | 12 | 96 | 57 | 670 | 11.8 | 1 | 51.5 |
| 2018 | MIA | 11 | 7 | 47 | 24 | 309 | 12.9 | 1 | 28.1 |
| 2019 | MIA | 16 | 14 | 128 | 72 | 1,202 | 16.7 | 9 | 75.1 |
| 2020 | MIA | 14 | 11 | 103 | 63 | 793 | 12.6 | 4 | 56.6 |
| 2021 | MIA | 10 | 8 | 73 | 40 | 515 | 12.9 | 2 | 51.5 |
| 2022 | NWE | 13 | 11 | 47 | 31 | 539 | 17.4 | 3 | 41.5 |
| 2023 | NWE | 13 | 13 | 55 | 33 | 394 | 11.9 | 0 | 30.3 |
| Career | 119 | 88 | 686 | 402 | 5,660 | 14.1 | 27 | 47.6 | |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
93%
ML model output
Context Prob
52%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 18% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.271
Physical production synergy+0.471
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.237
Top Negative Factors
+12.4 ypg vs. draft class average — above average-0.286
Improvement accelerating (+2.0) — getting better faster each year-0.280
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.216