Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Devaughn Vele
Devaughn Vele

Player breakdown

Devaughn Vele

Utah · 2024 Draft Class

6-4203 lbs7th round, 235th overallAge at Draft: 26Age: ~28
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

13%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2024DEN137554147511.6336.5
2025NOR137392529311.7222.5
Career2614946676811.6529.5
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2020UtahPac-125212062.4
2021UtahPac-121423389116.927.8
2022UtahPac-121455695512.649.6
2023UtahPac-121043593313.859.3
Career431231,689913.739.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

9%

ML model output

Context Prob

38%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 12% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.193
Recruit dominator synergy+0.309
2.4 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.285

Top Negative Factors

-16.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.758
0.21 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.451
Improvement accelerating (+56.9) — getting better faster each year-0.413

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)