Player breakdown
Donte Moncrief
Mississippi · 2014 Draft Class
6-2221 lbs3rd round, 90th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~33
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
47%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | IND | 16 | 2 | 49 | 32 | 444 | 13.9 | 3 | 27.8 |
| 2015 | IND | 16 | 10 | 105 | 64 | 733 | 11.5 | 6 | 45.8 |
| 2016 | IND | 9 | 7 | 56 | 30 | 307 | 10.2 | 7 | 34.1 |
| 2017 | IND | 12 | 8 | 47 | 26 | 391 | 15 | 2 | 32.6 |
| 2018 | JAX | 16 | 14 | 89 | 48 | 668 | 13.9 | 3 | 41.8 |
| 2019 | PIT | 5 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 18 | 4.5 | 0 | 3.6 |
| 2020 | NWE | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 2.5 |
| Career | 80 | 43 | 363 | 205 | 2,576 | 12.6 | 21 | 32.2 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | Ole Miss | SEC | 12 | 31 | 454 | 4 | 14.6 | 37.8 |
| 2012 | Ole Miss | SEC | 13 | 66 | 979 | 10 | 14.8 | 75.3 |
| 2013 | Ole Miss | SEC | 13 | 59 | 938 | 6 | 15.9 | 72.2 |
| Career | 38 | 156 | 2,371 | 20 | 15.2 | 62.4 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
46%
ML model output
Context Prob
52%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 19% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.274
Physical production synergy+0.479
BMI 28.4 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (221 lbs)+0.246
Top Negative Factors
+5.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.704
Recruit dominator synergy-0.283
Efficiency composite: 0.59 — average combined efficiency-0.234