Player breakdown
Brian Hartline
Ohio St. · 2009 Draft Class
6-2195 lbs4th round, 108th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~39
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
76%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | MIA | 16 | 2 | 56 | 31 | 506 | 16.3 | 3 | 31.6 |
| 2010 | MIA | 12 | 11 | 73 | 43 | 615 | 14.3 | 1 | 51.3 |
| 2011 | MIA | 16 | 10 | 66 | 35 | 549 | 15.7 | 1 | 34.3 |
| 2012 | MIA | 16 | 15 | 131 | 74 | 1,083 | 14.6 | 1 | 67.7 |
| 2013 | MIA | 16 | 15 | 133 | 76 | 1,016 | 13.4 | 4 | 63.5 |
| 2014 | MIA | 16 | 16 | 63 | 39 | 474 | 12.2 | 2 | 29.6 |
| 2015 | CLE | 12 | 4 | 77 | 46 | 523 | 11.4 | 2 | 43.6 |
| Career | 104 | 73 | 599 | 344 | 4,766 | 13.9 | 14 | 45.8 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 12 | 17 | 256 | 2 | 15.1 | 21.3 |
| 2007 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 13 | 52 | 694 | 6 | 13.3 | 53.4 |
| 2008 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 13 | 21 | 479 | 4 | 22.8 | 36.8 |
| Career | 38 | 90 | 1,429 | 12 | 15.9 | 37.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
80%
ML model output
Context Prob
49%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 21% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.287
Recruit dominator synergy+0.411
Class YPR rank: top 20% — elite per-target efficiency+0.270
Top Negative Factors
-16.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.759
Physical production synergy-0.494
0.32 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.337