Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Devontez Walker
Devontez Walker

Player breakdown

Devontez Walker

North Carolina · 2024 Draft Class

6-2193 lbs4th round, 113th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~25
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

48%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2024BAL9031212112.3
2025BAL1238613622.7311.3
Career21311715722.447.5
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2021Kent StateMAC85124124.815.5
2022Kent StateMAC12589211115.976.8
2023North CarolinaACC84169971787.4
Career281041,7441916.862.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

50%

ML model output

Context Prob

35%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

32.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.332
+33.0 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.311
BMI 24.8 — ideal frame for NFL WR (193 lbs)+0.223

Top Negative Factors

Improvement accelerating (+6.4) — getting better faster each year-0.443
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.433
Physical production synergy-0.416

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)