Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Dezmon Briscoe
Dezmon Briscoe

Player breakdown

Dezmon Briscoe

Kansas · 2010 Draft Class

6-2207 lbs6th round, 191st overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~37
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

41%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2010TAM20769315.5146.5
2011TAM162513538711.1624.2
2012WAS7052221103.1
Career252634350211.7720.1
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2007KansasBig 121343496711.538.2
2008KansasBig 1213921,4071515.3108.2
2009KansasBig 1211841,337915.9121.5
Career372193,2403114.887.6

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

39%

ML model output

Context Prob

55%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

35.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.338
+31.6 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.262
BMI 26.6 — ideal frame for NFL WR (207 lbs)+0.241

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.775
Improvement accelerating (+1.8) — getting better faster each year-0.283
Recruit dominator synergy-0.175

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)