Player breakdown
DJ Chark
LSU · 2018 Draft Class
6-0176 lbs2nd round, 61st overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~29
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
85%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | JAX | 11 | 0 | 32 | 14 | 174 | 12.4 | 0 | 15.8 |
| 2019 | JAX | 15 | 14 | 118 | 73 | 1,008 | 13.8 | 8 | 67.2 |
| 2020 | JAX | 13 | 12 | 93 | 53 | 706 | 13.3 | 5 | 54.3 |
| 2021 | JAX | 4 | 4 | 22 | 7 | 154 | 22 | 2 | 38.5 |
| 2022 | DET | 11 | 10 | 52 | 30 | 502 | 16.7 | 3 | 45.6 |
| 2023 | CAR | 15 | 11 | 66 | 35 | 525 | 15 | 5 | 35 |
| 2024 | LAC | 7 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 31 | 7.8 | 1 | 4.4 |
| Career | 76 | 51 | 393 | 216 | 3,100 | 14.4 | 24 | 40.8 | |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
86%
ML model output
Context Prob
80%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 31% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.240
Recruit dominator synergy+0.295
Physical production synergy+0.260
Top Negative Factors
+1.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.731
0.24 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.449
0.09 TDs/catch — high-value usage pattern-0.193