Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Dominic Lovett
Dominic Lovett

Player breakdown

Dominic Lovett

Georgia · 2025 Draft Class

5-10185 lbs7th round, 244th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~23
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

24%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2021MissouriSEC142817706.312.6
2022MissouriSEC1256846315.170.5
2023GeorgiaSEC1454613411.443.8
2024GeorgiaSEC1459607610.343.4
Career541972,2431311.441.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

23%

ML model output

Context Prob

35%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 16% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.313
Physical production synergy+0.254
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.90 — elite recruit at elite school+0.212

Top Negative Factors

-8.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.739
Accounted for 1.55 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.429
0.36 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.339

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)