Player breakdown
Duane Thomas Jr.
UCF · 2026 Draft Class
5-8170 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
30%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Charlotte | American | 12 | 24 | 244 | 0 | 10.2 | 20.3 |
| 2024 | Charlotte | American | 8 | 6 | 63 | 1 | 10.5 | 7.9 |
| 2025 | UCF | Big 12 | 12 | 53 | 528 | 0 | 10 | 44 |
| Career | 32 | 83 | 835 | 1 | 10.1 | 26.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
30%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 11% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.133
Recruit dominator synergy+0.534
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.230
Top Negative Factors
-7.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.706
0.00 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.434
Improvement accelerating (+1.2) — getting better faster each year-0.389