Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Dylan Wade
Dylan Wade

Player breakdown

Dylan Wade

UCF · 2026 Draft Class

6-4240 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

7%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2023MarylandBig Ten1142125.31.9
2024MarylandBig Ten1229374212.931.2
2025UCFBig 121143523512.247.5
Career3476918912.127.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

6%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.233
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.161
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.44x — route-running independent of system+0.160

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.934
Improvement accelerating (+23.9) — getting better faster each year-0.597
Physical production synergy-0.539

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)