Player breakdown
Easton Messer
Florida Atlantic · 2026 Draft Class
5-9190 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
28%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Western Kentucky | CUSA | 3 | 1 | 44 | 1 | 44 | 14.7 |
| 2023 | Western Kentucky | CUSA | 13 | 42 | 484 | 4 | 11.5 | 37.2 |
| 2024 | Western Kentucky | CUSA | 14 | 55 | 793 | 4 | 14.4 | 56.6 |
| 2025 | Florida Atlantic | American | 12 | 104 | 1,052 | 6 | 10.1 | 87.7 |
| Career | 42 | 202 | 2,373 | 15 | 11.7 | 56.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
8%
ML model output
Context Prob
65%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.262
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.171
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.169
Top Negative Factors
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.713
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.632
Improvement accelerating (+22.9) — getting better faster each year-0.597