Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Eddie Royal
Eddie Royal

Player breakdown

Eddie Royal

Virginia Tech · 2008 Draft Class

5-10184 lbs2nd round, 42nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~40
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

2%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2008DEN15151299198010.8565.3
2009DEN141279373459.3024.6
2010DEN16101055962710.6339.2
2011DEN12850191558.2112.9
2012SDG102442323410.2123.4
2013SDG153684763113.4842.1
2014SDG1611916277812.5748.6
2015CHI9950372386.4126.4
2016CHI91433336911.2241
Career116716594084,35710.72837.6
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2004Virginia TechACC1228470316.839.2
2005Virginia TechACC1327315211.724.2
2006Virginia TechACC133149731638.2
2007Virginia TechACC133349641538.2
Career511191,7781214.934.9

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

0%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Improvement accelerating (+0.1) — getting better faster each year+0.460
BMI 26.4 — ideal frame for NFL WR (184 lbs)+0.160
Team averaged 24.8 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.145

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.170
-17.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.589
Physical production synergy-0.408

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)