Player breakdown
Steve Breaston
Michigan · 2007 Draft Class
6-0193 lbs5th round, 142nd overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~43
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
78%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | ARI | 16 | 0 | 14 | 8 | 92 | 11.5 | 0 | 5.8 |
| 2008 | ARI | 16 | 9 | 113 | 77 | 1,006 | 13.1 | 3 | 62.9 |
| 2009 | ARI | 15 | 6 | 82 | 55 | 712 | 12.9 | 3 | 47.5 |
| 2010 | ARI | 13 | 11 | 87 | 47 | 718 | 15.3 | 1 | 55.2 |
| 2011 | KAN | 16 | 13 | 98 | 61 | 785 | 12.9 | 2 | 49.1 |
| 2012 | KAN | 10 | 4 | 15 | 7 | 74 | 10.6 | 0 | 7.4 |
| Career | 86 | 43 | 409 | 255 | 3,387 | 13.3 | 9 | 39.4 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | Michigan | Big Ten | 13 | 38 | 444 | 3 | 11.7 | 34.2 |
| 2004 | Michigan | Big Ten | 11 | 34 | 291 | 3 | 8.6 | 26.5 |
| 2005 | Michigan | Big Ten | 11 | 26 | 291 | 2 | 11.2 | 26.5 |
| 2006 | Michigan | Big Ten | 13 | 58 | 670 | 2 | 11.6 | 51.5 |
| Career | 48 | 156 | 1,696 | 10 | 10.9 | 35.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
84%
ML model output
Context Prob
45%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 15% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.267
Recruit dominator synergy+0.553
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.94x — route-running independent of system+0.198
Top Negative Factors
-19.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.727
0.21 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.450
Physical production synergy-0.251