Player breakdown
Emmanuel Sanders
SMU · 2010 Draft Class
5-11186 lbs3rd round, 82nd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~39
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
86%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | PIT | 13 | 1 | 50 | 28 | 376 | 13.4 | 2 | 28.9 |
| 2011 | PIT | 11 | 0 | 43 | 22 | 288 | 13.1 | 2 | 26.2 |
| 2012 | PIT | 16 | 7 | 75 | 44 | 626 | 14.2 | 1 | 39.1 |
| 2013 | PIT | 16 | 10 | 113 | 67 | 740 | 11 | 6 | 46.3 |
| 2014 | DEN | 16 | 16 | 141 | 101 | 1,404 | 13.9 | 9 | 87.8 |
| 2015 | DEN | 15 | 15 | 136 | 76 | 1,135 | 14.9 | 6 | 75.7 |
| 2016 | DEN | 16 | 16 | 137 | 79 | 1,032 | 13.1 | 5 | 64.5 |
| 2017 | DEN | 12 | 11 | 92 | 47 | 555 | 11.8 | 2 | 46.3 |
| 2018 | DEN | 12 | 12 | 98 | 71 | 868 | 12.2 | 4 | 72.3 |
| 2019 | 2TM | 17 | 16 | 97 | 66 | 869 | 13.2 | 5 | 51.1 |
| 2019 | DEN | 7 | 7 | 44 | 30 | 367 | 12.2 | 2 | 52.4 |
| 2019 | SFO | 10 | 9 | 53 | 36 | 502 | 13.9 | 3 | 50.2 |
| 2020 | NOR | 14 | 5 | 82 | 61 | 726 | 11.9 | 5 | 51.9 |
| 2021 | BUF | 14 | 13 | 72 | 42 | 626 | 14.9 | 4 | 44.7 |
| Career | 189 | 138 | 1233 | 770 | 10,114 | 13.1 | 56 | 53.5 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | SMU | CUSA | 12 | 46 | 605 | 9 | 13.2 | 50.4 |
| 2007 | SMU | CUSA | 12 | 74 | 889 | 9 | 12 | 74.1 |
| 2008 | SMU | CUSA | 10 | 67 | 958 | 9 | 14.3 | 95.8 |
| 2009 | SMU | CUSA | 13 | 98 | 1,339 | 7 | 13.7 | 103 |
| Career | 47 | 285 | 3,791 | 34 | 13.3 | 80.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
95%
ML model output
Context Prob
40%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 18% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.325
Recruit dominator synergy+0.430
Physical production synergy+0.353
Top Negative Factors
Improvement accelerating (+1.2) — getting better faster each year-0.256
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.168
50.4 ypg as a freshman — solid first-year impact-0.147