Player breakdown
Equanimeous St. Brown
Notre Dame · 2018 Draft Class
6-5214 lbs6th round, 207th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~29
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
49%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | GNB | 12 | 7 | 36 | 21 | 328 | 15.6 | 0 | 27.3 |
| 2020 | GNB | 12 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 117 | 16.7 | 1 | 9.8 |
| 2021 | GNB | 13 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 98 | 10.9 | 0 | 7.5 |
| 2022 | CHI | 16 | 16 | 38 | 21 | 323 | 15.4 | 1 | 20.2 |
| 2023 | CHI | 7 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 62 | 12.4 | 0 | 8.9 |
| Career | 60 | 28 | 110 | 63 | 928 | 14.7 | 2 | 15.5 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | Notre Dame | Ind | 7 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 1.1 |
| 2016 | Notre Dame | Ind | 12 | 58 | 961 | 9 | 16.6 | 80.1 |
| 2017 | Notre Dame | Ind | 13 | 33 | 515 | 4 | 15.6 | 39.6 |
| Career | 32 | 92 | 1,484 | 13 | 16.1 | 46.4 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
43%
ML model output
Context Prob
60%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 14% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.232
Physical production synergy+0.361
1.1 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.283
Top Negative Factors
-9.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.771
Improvement accelerating (+119.1) — getting better faster each year-0.405
0.41 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college-0.310