Player breakdown
Odell Beckham Jr.
LSU · 2014 Draft Class
5-11198 lbs1st round, 12th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~33
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
88%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | NYG | 12 | 11 | 130 | 91 | 1,305 | 14.3 | 12 | 108.8 |
| 2015 | NYG | 15 | 15 | 158 | 96 | 1,450 | 15.1 | 13 | 96.7 |
| 2016 | NYG | 16 | 16 | 169 | 101 | 1,367 | 13.5 | 10 | 85.4 |
| 2017 | NYG | 4 | 2 | 41 | 25 | 302 | 12.1 | 3 | 75.5 |
| 2018 | NYG | 12 | 12 | 124 | 77 | 1,052 | 13.7 | 6 | 87.7 |
| 2019 | CLE | 16 | 15 | 133 | 74 | 1,035 | 14 | 4 | 64.7 |
| 2020 | CLE | 7 | 7 | 43 | 23 | 319 | 13.9 | 3 | 45.6 |
| 2021 | 2TM | 14 | 13 | 82 | 44 | 537 | 12.2 | 5 | 38.4 |
| 2021 | CLE | 6 | 6 | 34 | 17 | 232 | 13.6 | 0 | 38.7 |
| 2021 | LAR | 8 | 7 | 48 | 27 | 305 | 11.3 | 5 | 38.1 |
| 2023 | BAL | 14 | 6 | 64 | 35 | 565 | 16.1 | 3 | 40.4 |
| 2024 | MIA | 9 | 0 | 18 | 9 | 55 | 6.1 | 0 | 6.1 |
| Career | 133 | 110 | 1044 | 619 | 8,524 | 13.8 | 64 | 64.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | LSU | SEC | 14 | 41 | 475 | 2 | 11.6 | 33.9 |
| 2012 | LSU | SEC | 13 | 43 | 713 | 2 | 16.6 | 54.8 |
| 2013 | LSU | SEC | 13 | 59 | 1,152 | 8 | 19.5 | 88.6 |
| Career | 40 | 143 | 2,340 | 12 | 16.4 | 58.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
94%
ML model output
Context Prob
57%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 31% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.280
Physical production synergy+0.391
BMI 27.6 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (198 lbs)+0.247
Top Negative Factors
+4.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.702
0.30 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.346
Recruit dominator synergy-0.282