Player breakdown
Chris Godwin
Penn St. · 2017 Draft Class
6-1209 lbs3rd round, 84th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~30
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
88%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | TAM | 16 | 2 | 55 | 34 | 525 | 15.4 | 1 | 32.8 |
| 2018 | TAM | 16 | 5 | 95 | 59 | 842 | 14.3 | 7 | 52.6 |
| 2019 | TAM | 14 | 14 | 121 | 86 | 1,333 | 15.5 | 9 | 95.2 |
| 2020 | TAM | 12 | 12 | 84 | 65 | 840 | 12.9 | 7 | 70 |
| 2021 | TAM | 14 | 14 | 127 | 98 | 1,103 | 11.3 | 5 | 78.8 |
| 2022 | TAM | 15 | 13 | 142 | 104 | 1,023 | 9.8 | 3 | 68.2 |
| 2023 | TAM | 17 | 17 | 130 | 83 | 1,024 | 12.3 | 2 | 60.2 |
| 2024 | TAM | 7 | 7 | 62 | 50 | 576 | 11.5 | 5 | 82.3 |
| 2025 | TAM | 9 | 6 | 51 | 33 | 360 | 10.9 | 2 | 40 |
| Career | 120 | 90 | 867 | 612 | 7,626 | 12.5 | 41 | 63.5 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | Penn State | Big Ten | 13 | 26 | 338 | 2 | 13 | 26 |
| 2015 | Penn State | Big Ten | 13 | 69 | 1,101 | 5 | 16 | 84.7 |
| 2016 | Penn State | Big Ten | 14 | 59 | 982 | 11 | 16.6 | 70.1 |
| Career | 40 | 154 | 2,421 | 18 | 15.7 | 60.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
94%
ML model output
Context Prob
57%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 15% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.345
Physical production synergy+0.420
BMI 27.6 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (209 lbs)+0.258
Top Negative Factors
+4.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.688
Improvement accelerating (+2.3) — getting better faster each year-0.162
Height-adjusted speed: 4.36s — elite speed for frame-0.147